| 张永恒，孔祥一，张立生，王维国.2018年我国灾害性天气及决策气象服务分析[J].海洋气象学报,2019,39(4):35-42 |
| 2018年我国灾害性天气及决策气象服务分析 |
| Analysis on disastrous weather and decision-making meteorological service over China in 2018 |
| 投稿时间：2019-11-12 修订日期：2019-11-25 |
| DOI：10.19513/j.cnki.issn2096-3599.2019.04.004 |
| 中文关键词: 灾害性天气 决策气象服务 内在联系 改进措施 |
| 英文关键词: disastrous weather decision-making meteorological service internal relation improvement measure |
| 基金项目:国家气象中心青年基金项目（Q201813） |
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| 摘要点击次数: 1062 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 灾害性天气的总结是研究其形成机理和变化规律的基础，也是提高预报预测准确率的有效途径，而决策气象服务是围绕天气变化进行的一项有中国特色的特殊服务，是政府部门科学决策的依据，工作对象的特殊性决定了天气预报预测能力需要不断提升和增强，决策气象服务技术需要不断改进和创新。通过对2018年全国灾害性天气特征和决策气象服务工作进行归纳、分析，并结合业务实际和未来发展，探讨性地提出改进措施，旨在建立灾害性天气和决策气象服务的内在联系，增强业务人员对天气变化规律的认知和对决策气象服务的深度理解，以预报发展推动服务水平提升，以服务需求促进预报技术提高，从而更好地发挥新形势下的决策参谋作用。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| The summary of disastrous weather is the basis of studying its formation mechanism and change rules and also an effective way to improve the accuracy of forecast and prediction. Decision-making meteorological service is a special service with Chinese characteristics with regard to weather change, which acts as the basis of scientific decision-making of government. The particularity of working object determines that the ability of forecasting needs to be enhanced and the technologies for decision-making meteorological service need improvement and innovation. According to the summary and analysis of the characteristics of disastrous weather and decision-making meteorological service over China in 2018, improvement measures for actual operational work and future development are suggested, aiming at establishing internal relations between disastrous weather and decision-making meteorological service and enhancing personnel's in-depth understanding in field of meteorological disaster and decision-making meteorological service. The role of decision-making service will be better played under the new situation by improving service with better forecasting skills and developing forecasting techniques according to actual service demands. |
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