极端降水与干旱同步频发的研究进展
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薛媛,女,硕士研究生,主要从事极端气候事件研究,xueyuan1997aa@163.com。

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P467

基金项目:

“十三五”山东重大气象工程项目(鲁发改农经〔2017〕97 号);山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2018BD024)


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Research advances in simultaneous frequency of extreme precipitation and drought
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    摘要:

    全球气候变暖已是不争的事实,其导致的极端气候事件增多、增强已成为全球性趋势。近年来全球多个区域存在旱涝并存、旱涝频发的趋势。研究表明,长期旱涝频发的主要原因是全球气温升高致使水循环在时间尺度上产生更强的非均匀性以及人为排放气溶胶粒子增多,短期旱涝急转的主要原因是大气环流形势、暖湿气流输送异常的耦合作用。现阶段对于极端降水和干旱事件同步频发的观测、诊断和模拟较少,不同气候地理条件下两者之间的关系及引起区域降水强度变化的关键性因子等方面亟需深入研究。

    Abstract:

    Global warming is an indisputable fact, and the increase and intensification of extreme climate events caused by it have become a global trend. In recent years, there is a trend of drought and flood coexisting and frequent drought and flood in many regions of the world. Studies suggest that the main reasons for the frequent occurrence of long-term drought and flood are the strong non-uniformity of water cycle on time scales caused by global temperature rise and the increase of aerosol particle emitted by human activities. The main reason for the rapid conversion of drought and flood in short term is the coupling effect of the atmospheric circulation and the anomalous transport of warm and wet air mass. At this stage, there are fewer observations, diagnoses, and simulations about the simultaneous frequency of extreme precipitation and drought events. The relationship between them under different climatic and geographical conditions and the key factors causing the variation of regional precipitation intensities are in urgent need of further study.

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薛媛,薛晓萍.极端降水与干旱同步频发的研究进展[J].海洋气象学报,2022,42(1):61-73.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-03-28
  • 出版日期: 2022-02-28

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