台风“利奇马”引发山东强降水成因分析
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王楠喻,女,硕士,工程师,主要从事天气预报业务及海气相互作用相关研究,wangnanyu@stu.ouc.edu.cn。林曲凤,女,硕士,高级工程师,主要从事天气预报业务及相关研究,1070559518@qq.com。

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山东省气象局科研项目(SDYBY2018-09);国家自然科学基金项目(41975065);国网2019年度科技项目(520613180060)


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Analysis on causes of heavy precipitation by Typhoon LEKIMA in Shandong
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    摘要:

    利用常规气象观测资料、台风最佳路径数据集资料、地面-卫星-雷达三源融合逐小时降水产品(0.05°×0.05°)、FY-2G云顶亮温(0.1°×0.1°)、NCEP/NCAR FNL(1°×1°)再分析资料,对2019年9号台风“利奇马”影响期间2019年8月11日发生的山东特大暴雨过程进行分析。结果表明:1)强降水主要受台风倒槽的影响,台风倒槽在山东中部暴雨区长时间稳定维持,台风东侧的低空东南急流把东海北部的水汽和能量向暴雨区输送,配合200 hPa高空急流的“抽吸作用”,在暴雨区上空辐合抬升,造成具有中尺度特征的暴雨。2)强降水区存在的正涡度区伴随强烈的上升运动、低层辐合、高层辐散的结构和次级环流耦合发展,为此次台风暴雨过程提供了有利的动力条件,而且动力条件的演变在此次台风暴雨过程中的作用比热力条件更重要。3)850 hPa水汽通量辐合中心,以及相匹配的在垂直方向的强上升运动区,对强降水落区和雨强有一定的指示意义。

    Abstract:

    Based on conventional observation data, typhoon best-track dataset, gauge-satellite-radar combined hourly precipitation products (0.05°×0.05°), black-body temperature from FY-2G satellite (0.1°×0.1°), and NCEP/NCAR FNL reanalysis data (1°×1°), the heavy rainstorm in Shandong on 11 August 2019 triggered by Typhoon LEKIMA is analyzed. The results are listed as follows. 1) The heavy precipitation is mainly affected by typhoon inverted trough that maintains for a long time in the rainstorm area in the central part of Shandong. The low-level southeast jet on the east side of the typhoon transports the water vapor and energy in the north of East China Sea to the rainstorm area, and combining with the pumping action of upper-level jet stream at 200 hPa, the water vapor converges and is lifted over the rainstorm area, which jointly result in the rainstorm with mesoscale characteristics. 2) The positive vorticity area in the rainstorm area is accompanied with strong ascending motion by the configuration of low-level convergence and high-level divergence and the coupling of secondary circulation, which provides favorable dynamic conditions for the typhoon rainstorm, and the dynamic conditions are more important than thermal conditions for the rainstorm process. 3) The water vapor flux convergence center at 850 hPa and corresponding vertical area of strong ascending motion have a good indication for predicting the heavy precipitation area and intensity.

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王楠喻,王雪,娄盼星,林曲凤,吴彦洁,秦璐,孙世军.台风“利奇马”引发山东强降水成因分析[J].海洋气象学报,2021,41(1):119-128.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-04-14
  • 出版日期: 2021-02-28
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