基于多源数据和三重匹配方法的风云三号风场测量雷达海面风场精度分析
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1.滨州市气象局 山东 滨州;2.国家卫星气象中心国家空间天气监测预警中心北京

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P467

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国家重点基础研究发展计划(2021YFB3900405)


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Evaluation of FY-3E WindRAD sea surface wind field products based on multi-source data and triple collocation method
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    摘要:

    面向风云三号卫星风场测量雷达海面风场数据精度分析的需求,本文利用数值预报模式、同类卫星观测和浮标站点实地观测多源数据,基于三重匹配分析方法,多维度评估全风速情况下的卫星风场产品质量。分别与模式、同类卫星观测和浮标的直接比对方法分析风速风向偏差特征,发现风云三号卫星产品误差特征并存在对不同海况和频点的依赖。利用三重匹配分析方法,同时分析了四个风速独立观测源的加性、乘性和随机误差。从综合分析结果来看,以浮标作为无偏观测源,加性误差方面卫星C波段风速产品存在略高的负偏差,Ku和双频产品偏差水平近似,乘性误差C波段最优,三者随机误差相近。各独立观测源相比,浮标的随机误差方差最小,模式的误差方差最大,两种卫星产品介于其中,且两者精度相近。综上,风云三号卫星产品能够提供较高精度的风场观测,目前存在的问题主要是需继续优化三个产品数据集的一致性。本文基于多源数据的卫星产品精度分析能够为卫星产品用户提供较为全面的可靠性信息,并为数值模式预报海上大风的客观订正方法提供依据。

    Abstract:

    Based on the needs for accurate analysis of the wind speed data of the scatterometer (WindRAD) onboard Fengyun-3E (FY-3E), this paper uses multi-source data from models, satellites, and buoy stations to evaluate the quality of satellite wind speed products with all wind speeds in multiple dimensions by using triple collocation(TC). Comparing the deviation characteristics of multi-source data, it is found that the deviation characteristics of FY-3E depend on different sea states and frequencies.The additive, multiplicative and random errors of four independent observation sources are analyzed by using triple matching collocation method.Taking the buoy as an unbiased observation source, it can be found from the error analysis of multi-source data that the negative deviation of the additive error of C-band wind speed is larger, the deviation of Ku-band and Dual-band wind speed is similar. The multiplicative error of C-band is best,and their random errors are similar.Among the independent sources, the root-mean-square-errors (RMSE) of the buoy are the smallest, and the two satellite products are similar and larger than that of the buoy, and the RMSEs of the model are the largest. In summary, FY-3E WindRad can provide high-precision wind speed products, but the main problem is that the consistency of products in different datasets needs to be optimized. The research results of the accuracy of satellite products in this paper can provide more comprehensive and reliable information for satellite product users, and provide a basis for objective calibration methods for predicting offshore gales by numerical models.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-12-06
  • 最后修改日期:2025-03-10
  • 录用日期:2025-04-11
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