充放电振子视角下中全新世ENSO振幅减弱的机制研究
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中国海洋大学海洋与大气学院海洋气象学系

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P732.6

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国家自然科学基金面上项目(41976015),中国科学院先导专项(XDB42010000)


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Investigating the ENSO amplitude reduction during mid-Holocene in the perspective of ENSO recharge-discharge oscillator
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Department of Marine Meteorology,College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences,Ocean University of China

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    摘要:

    利用CMIP6和PMIP4的模式资料,在ENSO充放电振子的视角下使用线性逆模型方法提取中全新世ENSO的本征模态,对该时期ENSO振幅减弱的动力机制进行了解释。研究揭示该时期ENSO振幅减弱源自于ENSO本征模态增长率的减小,且与温跃层反馈和纬向平流反馈的减弱有关。结果表明,温跃层的纬向坡度对赤道中太平洋风应力的响应强度在中全新世秋冬季的明显减弱主导了温跃层反馈的减弱;同时赤道东太平洋异常纬向海流对赤道中太平洋风应力的响应强度在夏秋冬季的明显减弱致使纬向平流反馈减弱。这两种至关重要的正反馈的减弱致使中全新世夏季出现的ENSO初始海温在秋季的发展速率变慢,进而使冬季最终的振幅减弱。部分模式模拟的中全新世ENSO振幅增强则与温跃层反馈的显著增强有关,尽管纬向平流反馈仍然小幅度地减弱。

    Abstract:

    Using air-sea coupled model simulations from CMIP6 and PMIP4, this study extracted the intrinsic modes of mid-Holocene ENSO in the perspective of the ENSO recharge–discharge oscillator via the linear inverse model method, thereby elucidating the dynamic mechanisms for the ENSO amplitude reduction during this period. The research revealed that the reduced ENSO amplitude in the mid-Holocene resulted from a decreased growth rate of the intrinsic ENSO mode, which is linked to weakened thermocline feedback and zonal advection feedback. The results indicate that the weakened thermocline feedback was primarily driven by a significant reduction in the response strength of the zonal slope of the thermocline to equatorial central Pacific wind stress during autumn and winter of the mid-Holocene. Simultaneously, the weakened zonal advection feedback was attributed to a notable decline in the response strength of anomalous zonal currents in the equatorial eastern Pacific to wind stress over the equatorial central Pacific during summer to winter. The weakening of these two critical positive feedbacks reduced the development rate of the initial ENSO sea surface temperature anomalies emerged in summer, ultimately reducing ENSO amplitude in winter. In contrast, the enhanced ENSO amplitude in some models was associated with strengthened thermocline feedback, although zonal advective feedback was weakened as well but to a smaller extent, compared to the enhancement of thermocline feedback.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-01-02
  • 最后修改日期:2025-04-03
  • 录用日期:2025-04-11
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