2024年秋季海洋天气评述
作者:
作者单位:

国家气象中心,北京 100081

作者简介:

郭乙莹,女,工程师,主要从事气象预报技术研究工作,guoyy@cma.gov.cn。

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中图分类号:

P732.2

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3004200)


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Autumn 2024 marine weather review
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Affiliation:

National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081 , China

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    摘要:

    2024年秋季(9—11月)北半球极涡呈偶极型分布,中高纬度地区环流大致呈5波型分布,欧亚大陆西风带环流较为平直,槽脊较常年偏弱,影响我国的冷空气势力不强。我国近海出现14次8级以上大风过程,其中仅受台风影响的大风过程为4次,台风与冷空气共同影响的大风过程为7次,冷空气与入海气旋共同影响的大风过程为2次,仅受冷空气影响的大风过程为1次,冷空气活动偏弱。西北太平洋和南海共生成15个台风,较多年(1949—2022年)均值偏多3.6个。全球其他海域共生成热带气旋22个,同历史平均个数对比来看,北大西洋偏多5.3个,东北太平洋偏少2.0个,北印度洋偏多0.4个,南半球偏少0.5个。我国近海出现18次2.0 m以上大浪过程,大浪日数占秋季总日数约84%。我国近海海面温度较常年平均偏高,其中9月黄海、东海北部出现最大距平,较常年平均偏高4.0 ℃,10月渤海北部出现最小距平,较常年平均偏低0.5~2.0 ℃。

    Abstract:

    In the Northern Hemisphere, the main atmospheric circulation in the autumn (from September to November) of 2024 is characterized by a dipole type of polar vortex and 5-wave circulation in the middle and high latitudes. In Eurasia, the circulation pattern of the westerly wind belt is flat without significant ridges and troughs. The troughs and ridges system are weaker than the historical average, and the cold air activities affecting China are not strong. There are 14 gale events above Beaufort wind force scale 8 over offshore areas of China, including 4 produced merely by tropical cyclones, 7 jointly by cold air and tropical cyclones, two jointly by cold air and extratropical cyclones and one merely by cold air. The influence of cold air is weak. A total of 15 typhoons are generated in western North Pacific and the South China Sea, 3.6 more than the multi-year (from 1949 to 2022) average. In addition, 22 tropical cyclones are named in the world’s other oceans, and in comparison with the historical average, there are 5.3 more in the North Atlantic, 2.0 fewer in the Northeast Pacific, 0.4 more in the North Indian Ocean and 0.5 fewer in the Southern Hemisphere. There are 18 rough sea wave events with wave height higher than 2.0 m over offshore areas of China, and the number of rough sea wave days accounts for about 84% of the total number of days in this autumn. The sea surface temperature (SST) over offshore areas of China is higher than the historical average, the maximum SST anomaly occurs in the Yellow Sea and the north of the East China Sea in September, 4.0 ℃ higher than the historical average, and the minimum SST anomaly occurs in the north of Bohai Sea in October, 0.5-2.0 ℃ lower than the historical average.

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郭乙莹,张增海,刘涛,曹越男,万纬祺,张浩,张成宝.2024年秋季海洋天气评述[J].海洋气象学报,2025,(1):104-114.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-01-02
  • 最后修改日期:2025-02-07
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-02-21
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