近60年华北地区夏季降水与亚洲-太平洋涛动的联系
作者:
作者单位:

1.成都信息工程大学大气科学学院,四川 成都 610225 ;2.高原大气与环境四川省重点实验室,四川 成都 610225 ;3.四川省气象灾害预测预警工程实验室,四川 成都 610225 ;4.咸阳市气象局,陕西 咸阳 712000

作者简介:

刘美希,meixiiiil@163.com。
华维,huawei@cuit.edu.cn。

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

P461.2

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(42275022);第二次青藏高原综合科学考察研究项目(2019QZKK010203)


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Relationship between summer precipitation in North China in recent 60 years and Asian-Pacific Oscillation
Author:
Affiliation:

1.School of Atmospheric Sciences, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225 , China ; 2.Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu 610225 , China ; 3.Meteorological Disaster Prediction and Warning Engineering Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu 610225 , China ; 4.Xianyang Meteorological Service, Xianyang 712000 , China

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    摘要:

    基于中国区域逐日降水资料格点数据集(CN05.1)和NCEP/NCAR再分析资料、HadISST逐月海面温度资料,采用线性回归和小波分析等统计方法以及线性斜压模式(linear baroclinic model,LBM)对1961—2020年华北地区夏季降水的时空变化特征及与亚洲-太平洋涛动(Asian-Pacific Oscillation,APO)的联系进行分析。结果表明:(1)华北地区夏季降水量在空间上呈东南多而西北少的分布特征,且存在较为明显的年际波动特征。(2)APO可通过影响大气环流进而导致华北地区夏季降水异常,即当APO偏强时,南亚高压偏强,西太平洋副热带高压偏强、偏北,亚洲大陆低压、东亚夏季风和南亚夏季风偏强,向华北输送的水汽偏强,水汽通量以辐合为主,导致华北夏季降水偏多,反之亦然。(3)APO还通过风场改变东西太平洋地区海面温度梯度,造成太平洋海面温度呈类厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(El Nio-Southern Oscillation,ENSO)模态进而影响沃克环流,间接调控华北地区夏季降水。(4)基于LBM的数值试验结果同样表明,受青藏高原异常热源影响,对流层高层位势高度出现响应,有利于APO形成,对应南亚高压偏强,而对流层中低层则为异常气旋性环流,对应东亚和南亚夏季风偏强,有利于水汽向中国北方输送,从而导致华北地区夏季降水量偏多。

    Abstract:

    Based on the daily gridded precipitation dataset (CN05.1), NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and HadISST monthly data, the linear regression and wavelet analysis, as well as the linear baroclinic model (LBM), are employed to examine the spatial-temporal variability of the summer precipitation in North China from 1961 to 2020 and its relationship with Asian-Pacific Oscillation (APO). The results are as follows. (1) The summer precipitation in North China exhibits a spatial pattern of higher values in the southeast and lower values in the northwest, and there is notable interannual variability. (2) The APO modulates the summer precipitation in North China by altering the East Asian atmospheric circulation. More specifically, the intensified APO correlates with a stronger South Asia high, a stronger and northward western Pacific subtropical high and an enhancement of low pressure across the Asian continent, thereby intensifying the East Asian and South Asian summer monsoons. This leads to the enhanced transfer of water vapor towards North China, fostering convergence and ultimately higher summer precipitation in North China, and vice versa. (3) The APO also modifies the sea surface temperature (SST) gradient between the eastern and western Pacific regions via wind fields, inducing an ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation)-like SST anomaly in the Pacific Ocean, which, in turn, impacts the Walker circulation and indirectly modulates the summer precipitation in North China. (4) The numerical simulations employing the LBM further validate that the anomalous heat sources over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau elicit a response in the upper tropospheric geopotential height, which fosters APO development and consequently a stronger South Asia high. Simultaneously, the middle and lower troposphere exhibits an anomalous cyclonic circulation, which bolsters the East Asian and South Asian summer monsoons, thereby enhancing the transfer of water vapor towards North China and the summer precipitation there.

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刘美希,华维,李昀晓.近60年华北地区夏季降水与亚洲-太平洋涛动的联系[J].海洋气象学报,2025,45(3):72-83.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-05-08
  • 最后修改日期:2024-11-29
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-07-01
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