春季强雷暴大风的雷达回波特征
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

1.空管局航空气象中心;2.中国气象局气象干部培训学院

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

自然科学(41875058),中国气象局重点创新团队(CMA2022ZD07)


请扫码阅读

Radar Echo Characteristics of Severe Straight-line Wind Events in Spring
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Aviation Meteorological Center of ATMB,CAAC;2.China Meteorological Administration Training Center

Fund Project:

The Key Innovation Team of China Meteorological Administration (CMA2022ZD07)

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    分级雷暴大风预警是精细化短临预报的难点问题。本研究基于具有偏振功能的S波段多普勒天气雷达数据和1小时极大风速数据,筛选出2024年春季40次由孤立强风暴(回波强度不低于60dBZ)引发的大风事件,并根据地面极大风风力分为强雷暴大风事件(风力等级9-13级)和非强风事件(风力等级不高于7级)。通过分析揭示了强雷暴大风事件的风暴结构特征与引发10级以上强风的超级单体雷达特征类似。强风组风暴绝大多数具有持续性中气旋和其他超级单体结构特征,且其回波强度、垂直累积液态水含量(Vertically Integrated Liquid, VIL)、中层径向辐合强度和风暴移速均显著高于非强风组,文章在统计基础上提出了强风预警指标和时间提前量。值得注意的是,反射率因子核下降是强风暴的共性特征,不能用于区分雷暴大风的强度。40%的强风组个例在大风发生前42分钟出现差分反射率因子槽口,表明冰雹(霰)粒子及其下落过程中的相变(如,融化、蒸发)引起的强下沉气流是雷暴大风形成的一种情形,相对连续的差分反射率因子槽口可作为强雷暴大风的预警指标之一。研究结果明确了引发春季致灾强雷暴大风的孤立强风暴在雷达上的先兆信号,为强雷暴大风的预警和客观算法设计提供科学依据。

    Abstract:

    Graded straight-line wind warning is a challenging issue in refined short-term and nowcasting forecasting. Based on S-band polarimetric Doppler weather radar data and hourly maximum wind speed data, this study selected 40 straight-line wind events caused by isolated severe storms (echo intensity ≥60 dBZ) during spring 2024. These events were classified into strong straight-line wind events (wind force scales 9-13) and weak straight-line wind events (wind force scales ≤7) according to surface maximum wind force. The analysis reveals that the storm structure characteristics of strong straight-line wind events are similar to the supercell radar features that produce winds above force scale 10. The vast majority of storms in the strong wind group exhibit persistent mesocyclones and other supercell structural features, with their echo intensity, Vertically Integrated Liquid (VIL), mid-level radial convergence intensity, and storm motion speed significantly higher than those of the non-strong wind group. Based on statistical analysis, this study proposes strong wind warning indicators and lead times. Notably, the descent of reflectivity factor cores is a common feature of severe storms and cannot be used to distinguish straight-line wind intensity. The differential reflectivity trough (ZDR trough) is considered a polarization characteristic of strong straight-line winds. 40% of the strong wind group cases showed a ZDR trough 42 minutes before the strong wind occurred, indicating that the strong downdrafts induced by the phase changes (e.g., melting and evaporation) of hail or graupel particles during their descent represent one mechanism for straight-line winds production. A relatively continuous ZDR trough can serve as a precursor signature for such strong straight-line winds. The results of this study clearly identify the precursor signatures of isolated strong thunderstorms that cause damaging straight-line winds in the spring, providing a scientific basis for windstorm forecasting and the design of objective algorithms.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
文章历史
  • 收稿日期:2025-03-30
  • 最后修改日期:2025-07-11
  • 录用日期:2025-07-11
  • 在线发布日期:
  • 出版日期:
关闭

关闭