福建海洋浮标观测数据接续技术初步研究
作者:
作者单位:

1.福建省灾害天气重点实验室,福建 福州 350008 ;2.平潭台湾海峡海洋气象福建省野外科学观测研究站,福建 福州 350008 ;3.福建省气象信息中心,福建 福州 350008 ;4.福建省气象台,福建 福州 350008

作者简介:

袁伟,38091770@qq.com。

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

P413.2

基金项目:

中国气象局上海台风研究基金项目(TFJJ202113)


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Preliminary study on data continuation technology for Fujian ocean buoy observations
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Fujian Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Fuzhou 350008 , China ; 2.Pingtan Marine Meteorology Observation and Research Station for the Taiwan Strait of Fujian Province,Fuzhou 350008 , China ; 3.Fujian Meteorological Information Center, Fuzhou 350008 , China ; 4.Fujian Meteorological Observatory, Fuzhou 350008 , China

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    摘要:

    应用百分位、K-means聚类等技术,分析福建海洋浮标的经纬度信息,尝试解决长序列海洋浮标资料存在位置漂移、摆动情况时的缺测位置估算问题。以此为出发点,结合中国气象局陆面数据同化系统CLDAS、欧洲中期天气预报中心ERA5等第三方资料,分别采用反距离权重、普通克里金插值等方法在给定时次和经纬度位置时进行计算,得到相应的气温、气压、相对湿度、风向和风速等要素估测值。在此基础上,首先,对不同第三方资料和不同插值算法估测结果进行综合评估,发现数据序列稳定性和时序长度对要素填补接续有很大影响,反距离权重法相比普通克里金插值法评估效果表现更好。其次,针对福建7个海洋浮标原始观测数据集,根据结论重新整合得到新数据集,两者对比评估检验,各气象要素的皮尔逊相关系数普遍在0.9以上,新数据集不仅完整性得到极大改善,而且保留了原始观测数据的一致性和稳健性,局部异常要素值也得到有效控制。最后,在2014—2021年台风个例检验过程中,对比台风实时路径进行风速要素的评估,新数据集风速要素相关系数平均提高0.03、均方根误差平均下降0.5 m[DK]·s-1,试验表明接续方法能够提升海洋浮标观测资料的业务适用性。

    Abstract:

    The percentile and K-means clustering methods are utilized to analyze the longitude and latitude information of Fujian ocean buoy, trying to solve the problem of position estimation of missing observations under the conditions of position drift and swing in the long sequence of ocean buoy data. On this basis, with the third-party data such as CLDAS and ERA5, the inverse distance weighted method and the ordinary Kriging interpolation algorithm are used to calculate when the timing and longitude/latitude positions are determined, and the corresponding temperature, pressure, relative humidity, wind direction and wind speed are estimated. First, the evaluation results of different third-party information and different interpolation algorithms indicate that the stability of data sequence and its length have great impact on the filling of elements, and the inverse distance weighted method performs better than the ordinary Kriging interpolation. Subsequently, based on the conclusions, a new data set is reconstituted by integrating the original observation data from 7 Fujian ocean buoys. A comparative evaluation and validation of the two data sets show that the Pearson correlation coefficients of various meteorological elements are generally above 0.9. The new data set not only significantly improves its completeness but also preserves the consistency and robustness of the original observation data. Local abnormal element values are also effectively controlled. During the validation process of typhoon cases from 2014 to 2021, the wind speed elements are evaluated by comparing them with the real-time typhoon tracks. The correlation coefficients of the wind speed elements in the new data set averagely increase by 0.03, and the root mean square error averagely decreases by 0.5 m[DK]·s-1. The experiment shows that the data continuation technology can improve the operational applicability of ocean buoy observations.

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袁伟,蓝俊,郑玉兰,等.福建海洋浮标观测数据接续技术初步研究[J].海洋气象学报,2025,45(5):79-90.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-05-13
  • 最后修改日期:2024-07-15
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-10-30
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