登陆福建台风引发潮汕地区强降水的天气形势分型
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1.广东省汕头市气象局;2.广东省潮州市气象局;3.广东省气象台;4.广东省湛江市气象局

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广东气象联合基金重点项目(2024B1515520002)、广东省气象局科技创新团队(GRMCTD202502-ZD02)、广东省气象局科技项目(GRMC2023Q22)


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Synoptic Situation Classification of Torrential Rain in Chaoshan region Induced by Typhoon Landing in Fujian
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    摘要:

    本研究利用2000—2023年中国气象局热带气旋资料中心CMA最佳路径数据集、美国国家环境预报中心NCEP再分析资料,以及全球降水观测计划GPM逐半小时全球降水数据集IMERG,综合运用K-means聚类、SOM分型等方法,对登陆福建台风影响潮汕地区的强降水过程进行统计与分型分析。结果表明:潮汕地区暴雨空间差异特征显著,东部沿海强降水发生频率最高,西部降水较弱,降水过程也表现出明显的类型差异:东高西低型表现为登陆后降水强度增强,高压坝型为长时间持续降水,西风槽型为强降水短时爆发。进一步研究发现,500 hPa环流系统是调控降水特征的关键因素。东高西低型依赖偏北的副高脊线形成的气压梯度持续输送水汽;高压坝型因为副高带状分布阻滞台风,使潮汕地区长时间处于气流辐合区;西风槽型受槽前与台风正涡度平流共同影响。500 hPa系统通过高低空垂直耦合,决定水汽输送、动力抬升及降水时长。

    Abstract:

    Based on the CMA Best Track Dataset from the China Meteorological Administration's Tropical Cyclone Data Center, NCEP reanalysis data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction, and the GPM (Global Precipitation Measurement) IMERG (Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for GPM) hourly precipitation dataset during the period 2000–2023, this study comprehensively employs methods such as K-means clustering and SOM (Self-Organizing Map) classification to conduct statistical and typological analyses of heavy precipitation processes in the Chaoshan region affected by typhoons landing in Fujian Province. The results indicate that the Chaoshan region exhibits significant spatial differences in rainstorm distribution: the eastern coastal areas have the highest frequency of heavy precipitation, while the western region experiences weaker precipitation. Precipitation processes also show distinct typological characteristics: the "Eastern High-Western Low" type is characterized by enhanced precipitation intensity after typhoon landfall; the "High-Pressure Dam" type features prolonged continuous precipitation; and the "Westerly Trough" type is marked by short-duration explosive heavy precipitation. Further research reveals that the 500 hPa circulation system is a key factor regulating precipitation characteristics. The Eastern High-Western Low type relies on the pressure gradient formed by the northward-shifted subtropical high ridge to sustain water vapor transport; the High-Pressure Dam type is caused by the zonal distribution of the subtropical high blocking the typhoon, keeping the Chaoshan region in an airflow convergence zone for an extended period; the Westerly Trough type is affected by both pre-trough and the advection of positive vorticity from the typhoon. Through vertical coupling between upper and lower levels, the 500 hPa system determines water vapor transport, dynamic lifting, and precipitation duration.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-09-10
  • 最后修改日期:2025-12-15
  • 录用日期:2025-12-15
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