副高控制下多系统作用引发山东沿海突发大暴雨的成因探析
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威海市气象局

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山东省气象局创新团队(SDCXTD2023-1、SDCXTD2021-2);山东省气象局重点科研项目(2022sdqxz02、2022sdqxz11、2025sdqxz01);山东省气象局科学技术研究项目(2022sdqxm12、2024sdqxm15)


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Mechanisms of a sudden heavy rainstorm over coastal Shandong: Multi-system interactions under the control of the subtropical high
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Weihai Meteorological Bureau

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    摘要:

    选取2024年9月17日山东沿海发生的一次突发大暴雨过程,利用常规观测资料、ERA5再分析资料及多普勒天气雷达资料等,结合诊断分析和雷达风场反演技术,对该过程的成因机制及多系统作用进行了深入分析。结果表明:威海北部沿海大暴雨区位于“北支短波槽—南支减弱台风低压”两支低值系统之间的副高控制区,台风外围和副高内部来自黄海的中低层暖湿气流,与东北地区扩散南下的低层弱冷空气结合,增强了低层辐合并维持了925 hPa切变线(地面辐合线),低层辐合与副热带高空西风急流右侧辐散形成“上下耦合”的动力结构,叠加威海北部海岸地形的抬升作用,导致强降水增幅;威海南部沿海暴雨则与台风外围低层南风气流增强相关,未受冷空气直接影响。无低空急流背景下,副高内部东南气流与台风系统共同作用实现水汽聚集和不稳定能量累积,低层弱冷空气的强迫抬升触发对流不稳定,近地面围绕地形的中尺度辐合线或辐合中心成为大暴雨形成的关键因素。

    Abstract:

    This study investigates a sudden heavy rainstorm that occurred in coastal Shandong on 17 September 2024. By integrating conventional observations, ERA5 reanalysis, and Doppler weather radar data with diagnostic analysis and radar wind field retrieval techniques, we elucidate the underlying mechanisms and multi-system interactions. The results indicate the following: The heavy rainstorm in northern coastal Weihai was situated within the Western Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH), between a northern short-wave trough and a weakened southern typhoon. Here, warm, moist airflows from the typhoon periphery and the WPSH interior over the Yellow Sea in the middle-lower troposphere converged with weak cold air advected southwards from northeastern China. This convergence enhanced the low-level lifting and sustained the 925-hPa shear line (surface convergence line). Ultimately, it established a coupled dynamic mechanism, characterized by low-level convergence beneath upper-level divergence on the right side of the subtropical westerly jet. The coastal topography of northern Weihai provided additional lifting, further intensifying the precipitation. In contrast, the rainstorm in the southern coastal area of Weihai was primarily associated with an intensification of the low-level southerly flow from the typhoon periphery, without direct influence from cold air. Even in the absence of a low-level jet, continuous moisture transport and instability accumulation were achieved through the combined effects of the southeasterly flow within the WPSH and the typhoon. The triggering of convective instability was forced by the lifting from the intruding weak cold air, with mesoscale convergence lines or centers near the surface, modulated by local topography, serving as a crucial mechanism for the heavy rainstorm.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-11-26
  • 最后修改日期:2026-02-02
  • 录用日期:2026-02-03
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