冬季西伯利亚—青藏高原偶极型温度异常的特征及可能影响因子
作者:
作者单位:

1.中国海洋大学海洋与大气学院, 山东 青岛 266100 ;2.中国海洋大学物理海洋教育部重点实验室, 山东 青岛 266100

作者简介:

李高龙,硕士研究生,21230111001@stu.ouc.edu.cn。

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

P467

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFF0805102)


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Characteristics and possible influencing factors of Siberia-Qinghai-Tibet Plateau dipole temperature anomaly in boreal winter
Author:
Affiliation:

1.College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100 , China ; 2.Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography of Ministry of Education, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100 , China

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    摘要:

    基于观测数据和多源再分析资料,对1981—2023年冬季(12月—次年2月)西伯利亚—青藏高原偶极型地表温度异常模态的特征及可能影响因子进行探究。结果表明:(1)冬季亚洲表现出西伯利亚—青藏高原偶极型地表温度异常,西伯利亚冷异常源于贝加尔湖低压异常削弱副极地西风导致的冷空气南下;青藏高原暖异常源于高压异常控制下云量偏少导致的短波辐射增加和冰雪反照率反馈加强。(2)秋末(10、11月)巴伦支—喀拉海海冰偏少时,热力作用激发上空高压异常并维持至冬季,进而波动能量南传,贝加尔湖低压异常形成,这有利于西伯利亚冷异常并有助于西伯利亚—青藏高原偶极型温度异常正位相形成。海冰偏多时相反。(3)冬季西地中海—东北大西洋降水偏多(少)时,高空负(正)波源激发副极地、副热带两条波列。贝加尔湖和青藏高原分别受低压(高压)和高压(低压)异常影响,有利于西伯利亚—青藏高原偶极型温度异常正(负)位相形成。本研究阐明了海冰—大气热力动力耦合及波动能量传播对西伯利亚—青藏高原偶极型温度异常的调控作用,为冬季西伯利亚和青藏高原地区温度年际变化预测提供了理论依据。

    Abstract:

    Based on observational data and multi-source reanalysis materials, this study explores the characteristics and possible influencing factors of the Siberia-Qinghai-Tibet Plateau dipole surface temperature anomaly pattern during the winter (December-February of the following year) from 1981 to 2023. The research shows the following results. (1) The Siberia-Qinghai-Tibet Plateau dipole surface temperature anomaly is observed over Asia in winter. The Siberia cold anomaly is primarily driven by cold advection resulting from weakened sub-polar westerlies under the influence of an anomalous low-pressure system over Lake Baikal. The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau warm anomaly stems from the increased short-wave radiation due to reduced cloud cover controlled by a persistent high-pressure anomaly, with additional amplification via ice/snow-albedo feedback. (2) In late autumn (October-November), the low sea ice concentration in the Barents-Kara Sea triggers an abnormal high-pressure system in the upper atmosphere by thermal action and maintains it until winter. Subsequently, the Rossby wave energy spreads to the south, which is conducive to the formation of a low-pressure anomaly over Lake Baikal. This is conducive to the occurrence of the Siberia cold anomaly and ultimately helps to form the positive phase of the Siberia-Qinghai-Tibet Plateau dipole temperature anomaly. However, the situation is the opposite when there is high sea ice concentration. (3) The positive (negative) winter precipitation anomaly over western Mediterranean Sea-northeastern Atlantic Ocean excites a negative (positive) upper-level wave source, which in turn triggers both sub-polar and sub-tropical wave trains. Contrasting pressure anomalies—low pressure (high pressure) near Lake Baikal and high pressure (low pressure) over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, promote the development of the positive (negative) phase of the Siberia-Qinghai-Tibet Plateau dipole temperature anomaly. This study clarifies the regulatory effects of the thermal-dynamic coupling between sea ice and the atmosphere and the remote propagation of wave energy on the Siberia-Qinghai-Tibet Plateau dipole temperature anomaly, providing a theoretical basis for predicting the interannual variations of winter temperatures in Siberia and Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.

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李高龙,李春.冬季西伯利亚—青藏高原偶极型温度异常的特征及可能影响因子[J].海洋气象学报,2026,46(1):106-116.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-06-04
  • 最后修改日期:2025-07-23
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-02-13
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