2023年梅雨前后近似雨带分布的两次强降水过程机理对比
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作者单位:

1.淮北市气象局,安徽 淮北 235000 ;2.安徽省气象科学研究所,安徽 合肥 230031 ;3.安徽省大气科学与卫星遥感重点实验室,安徽 合肥 230031 ;4.宿州市气象局,安徽 宿州 234000 ;5.铜陵市气象局,安徽 铜陵 244000

作者简介:

第一作者:张永芹,高级工程师,304029443@qq.com。
通信作者:周后福,正高级工程师,zhf_ahqx@163.com。

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基金项目:

安徽省重点研发计划项目(2022m07020003);铜陵市科技计划项目(20230203049)


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Comparison of mechanisms of two heavy precipitation processes with approximate rainband distribution before and during Meiyu period in 2023
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Huaibei Meteorological Service, Huaibei 235000 , China ; 2.Anhui Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Hefei 230031 , China ; 3.Anhui Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Science and Satellite Remote Sensing, Hefei 230031 , China ; 4.Suzhou Meteorological Service, Suzhou 234000 , China ; 5.Tongling Meteorological Service, Tongling 244000 , China

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    摘要:

    基于地面、1 km降水实况融合产品、探空、雷达、卫星、ECMWF和ERA5等观测和再分析资料,针对2023年梅雨前后近似雨带分布的两次强降水过程,从影响系统、动力、热力、中尺度等角度对比形成机理并构建强降水立体概念模型。结果表明:(1)两次过程均发生在副热带高压(以下简称“副高”)边缘暖湿气流和冷空气影响下,副高脊线位置大致相当,切变线南侧为西南风急流。梅雨前过程切变线北侧为东南风,梅雨期过程切变线北侧为偏北和偏东风。(2)两次强降水均产生在水汽通量高值区和水汽辐合中心附近。梅雨前过程水汽输送和辐合条件差,属于暖区对流降水,梅雨期过程高空槽偏深,地面有冷锋南压,属于锋面降水。(3)两次强降水均发生在热力不稳定条件下,梅雨期过程热力不稳定条件和对流不稳定度比梅雨前过程更强。梅雨前过程的前期主要由对流云团在湖北东部辐合线附近触发并与中尺度对流云团结合发展造成,后期由中尺度对流系统(mesoscale convective system,MCS)稳定少动造成;梅雨期过程主要由暖区对流云系发展和锋面云系造成。梅雨前过程强降水回波带由线状回波和东西向回波带共同组成,具有多单体风暴特征,而梅雨期过程为范围较大的强对流单体组成。(4)建立暴雨形成的三维概念模型,较好地解释强降水形成机理。

    Abstract:

    Based on ground-based and 1-km real-time merged precipitation products, as well as observations and reanalysis data of sounding, radar, satellite, ECMWF and ERA5, a 3D conceptual model is established for the two heavy precipitation processes with approximate rainband distribution before and during the Meiyu period in 2023. From the perspectives of synoptic systems, dynamics, thermodynamics and mesoscale processes, the formation mechanisms of the two processes are compared. The results are as follows. (1) Both heavy precipitation processes occur under the influence of cold air as well as the warm and moist airflow at the edge of the subtropical high, with roughly equivalent position of subtropical high trough line and a southwest jet stream south of the shear line. To the north of the shear line is southeasterly wind for the process before the Meiyu period, while it is northerly and easterly wind for the process during the Meiyu period. (2) Both processes occur in the area of high water vapor flux and near the convergence center of water vapor. For the process before the Meiyu period, the conditions of transfer of water vapor and convergence are poor, and the process is warm-sector convective precipitation; for the process during the Meiyu period, the upper-level trough is deeper and the cold front is moving southward on the ground, resulting in frontal precipitation. (3) Both processes occur under conditions of thermodynamic instability, and the conditions of thermodynamic instability and convective instability for the process during the Meiyu period are stronger than those before the Meiyu period. For the process before the Meiyu period, the precipitation in the former stage is mainly triggered by the convective clouds near the convergence line in the eastern part of Hubei and these clouds are combined with mesoscale convective clouds, while the latter stage is caused by the stable and less dynamic mesoscale convective system (MCS). For the process during the Meiyu period, the precipitation is mainly caused by the development of warm-sector convective clouds and frontal clouds. The echo bands of the heavy precipitation before the Meiyu period are composed of linear echoes and east-west echo bands, exhibiting the characteristics of multi-cell storms, while those of the precipitation during the Meiyu period contain larger-scale convective cells. (4) A 3D conceptual model for the formation of rainstorm is established to explain the mechanisms of heavy precipitation.

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张永芹,周后福,卢俞,等.2023年梅雨前后近似雨带分布的两次强降水过程机理对比[J].海洋气象学报,2026,46(2):39-51.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-03-13
  • 最后修改日期:2025-09-01
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-22
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