山东半岛北部一次回流暴雪的地形作用分析
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作者单位:

1.烟台市气象局;2.山东省气象台;3.青岛市海洋管理保障中心;4.中国海洋大学海洋与大气学院

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P456.9

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山东省重大天气过程专项(SDTQ2024-01、SDTQ2024-08),山东省气象局引导类项目(2025SDYD13),中国气象局复盘总结专项(FPZJ2025-073)


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Analysis of terrain effects on a return-flow snowstorm in the Northern Shandong Peninsula
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Affiliation:

1.Yantai Meteorological Bureau;2.Shandong Meteorological Observatory;3.Qingdao Marine Management Support Center;4.College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences,Ocean University of China

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    摘要:

    针对2024年2月20—21日山东半岛北部一次罕见的回流暴雪过程,综合利用常规观测、再分析资料、WRF模式敏感试验及HYSPLIT后向轨迹追踪,系统分析了暴雪的时空特征、环流背景、地形影响及水汽来源,旨在揭示半岛丘陵地形对回流降雪局地作用的物理机制。结果表明:此次暴雪发生于典型的回流形势背景下,925 hPa冷空气经渤海、黄海北部南下形成冷舌,700 hPa西南暖湿气流输送充沛水汽,高低层配置构成有利的垂直风切变与上升运动。WRF控制试验较好地再现了降雪的时空演变;地形敏感试验表明,山东半岛丘陵地形通过动力抬升作用,促进了水汽垂直输送和凝结,在其北坡激发出显著的垂直上升运动及闭合次级环流圈,直接导致烟台至威海一带降雪增强,当地形高度降低时该效应明显减弱。水汽追踪分析进一步定量揭示了两支关键水汽通道,一支源自低纬度、沿中层西南急流输送的暖湿气流贡献了约67.16%的水汽,另一支为高纬度冷空气流经渤海暖海面后吸收蒸发水汽所形成的低层冷湿气流,贡献约32.84%。本研究表明,在回流暴雪过程中,山东半岛丘陵地形通过动力抬升作用对半岛北部暴雪具有显著的局地增强效应。研究结果可为类似天气形势下半岛地区暴雪的预报预警及机理研究提供参考。

    Abstract:

    This study investigates a rare return-flow snowstorm that occurred in the northern Shandong Peninsula from February 20 to 21, 2024. By integrating conventional observations, reanalysis data, WRF model sensitivity experiments, and HYSPLIT backward trajectory tracking, we systematically analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics, circulation background, topographic influence, and moisture sources of the snowstorm, aiming to reveal the physical mechanisms underlying the local topographic effects on the return-flow snowfall. The results indicate that this snowstorm occurred under a typical return-flow circulation pattern. Cold air at 925 hPa moved southward across the Bohai Sea and the northern Yellow Sea, forming a cold tongue, while a moist southwesterly flow at 700 hPa transported abundant moisture. The configuration between the upper- and lower-level flows created favorable vertical wind shear and upward motion. The WRF control experiment effectively reproduced the spatiotemporal evolution of the snowfall. Topographic sensitivity experiments demonstrate that the hilly terrain of the Shandong Peninsula, enhanced vertical moisture transport and condensation through dynamic lifting, triggering significant vertical ascent and a closed secondary circulation cell on its northern slope. This directly enhanced snowfall in the region from Yantai to Weihai. The effect markedly weakened when the terrain height was reduced. Moisture trajectory analysis further quantitatively identifies two key moisture channels: one originating from low latitudes, contributing approximately 67.16% of the moisture via the mid-level southwesterly jet, and the other stemming from high-latitude cold air, which absorbed evaporated moisture from the warm surface of the Bohai Sea, forming a low-level cold, moist flow that contributed about 32.84%. This study confirms that during return-flow snowstorms, the topography of the Shandong Peninsula exerts a significant local enhancement effect on heavy snowfall in the northern peninsula through dynamic lifting. The findings can provide references for forecasting, warning, and mechanistic research of similar snowstorms in the peninsula region under analogous synoptic conditions.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-02-10
  • 最后修改日期:2026-04-03
  • 录用日期:2026-04-03
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