基于高密度气象站的海南岛人体舒适度时空分布特征与影响因子分析
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海南省气候中心

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海南省气象局敏捷攻关业务专项(No.HNQXMJ202504)


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Spatiotemporal Distribution Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Human Thermal Comfort in Hainan Island Based on a High?Density Meteorological Station Network
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    摘要:

    基于2010—2024年海南岛19个国家气象站与308个区域站的逐日气温、相对湿度和风速资料,采用线性倾向率、累积距平等方法对海南岛人体舒适度时空分布特征及影响因子进行了分析,主要结论如下:(1)海南岛人体舒适度全年以舒适和热不舒适等级为主,分别占65.7%和33.5%,冷不舒适日数不足1%。舒适日集中于10月至翌年4月,热不舒适日集中于5–9月。(2)舒适日数呈“中部多、四周少”格局,热不舒适日数空间分布与之相反。(3)2010—2024年年平均舒适日数和冷不舒适日数呈显著下降趋势,热不舒适日数呈显著上升趋势。(4)气温是影响人体舒适度指数的主要因子,2019年至今则气温偏高、舒适日数转少与热不舒适日数显著增多(5)高密度站点数据显著提升了空间精度,精准识别出琼中西部、五指山中北部等地区全年舒适日数可达280天以上,以及在夏季仍能维持优越舒适条件,为区域康养规划提供了精细化的气候依据。

    Abstract:

    Based on daily temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed data from 19 national meteorological stations and 308 regional automatic weather stations in Hainan Island between 2010 and 2024, this study investigates the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics and influencing factors of human thermal comfort using methods such as linear trend analysis and cumulative anomaly. The main findings are as follows: (1) Throughout the year, the thermal comfort condition in Hainan Island is dominated by “comfortable” and “hot-uncomfortable” levels, accounting for 65.7% and 33.5% of the days, respectively, while “cold-uncomfortable” days make up less than 1%. Comfortable days are mainly concentrated from October to April of the following year, whereas hot-uncomfortable days are prevalent from May to September. (2) Spatially, the number of comfortable days exhibits a pattern of “higher in the central region and lower in the surrounding areas”, while the distribution of hot-uncomfortable days shows the opposite trend. (3) From 2010 to 2024, the annual average number of comfortable days and cold-uncomfortable days displayed a significant decreasing trend, while hot-uncomfortable days showed a significant increasing trend. (4) Temperature is the primary factor influencing the human comfort index. Since 2019, rising temperatures have been associated with a reduction in comfortable days and a notable increase in hot-uncomfortable days. (5) The use of high-density station data significantly improved spatial accuracy, enabling the precise identification of regions such as western Qiongzhong and the northern part of Wuzhishan, where the annual number of comfortable days exceeds 280 and favorable comfort conditions are maintained even during summer. These findings provide refined climatic evidence to support regional health and wellness planningg.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-02-26
  • 最后修改日期:2026-04-23
  • 录用日期:2026-05-25
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